MetLink Report 3 Feb 1999
(Day 8)


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School Weather News 1999


Weather analysis - 3 Feb 1999

From: education@royal-met-soc.org.uk
Subject: MetLinkInternational Week 2 Wednesday
Date: Thu, 4 Feb 1999 00:02:18 -0000

Dear MetLink participants

Let's start with the weather over the Britain today. The story is one of westerly winds over the whole of the British Isles, with stronger winds than of late. Winds have reached gale force around the north of Scotland and over northern parts of the North Sea today. As you will see from the data base, there has been a lot of cloud over the British Isles --- 8/8 at many of the schools in Britain. Consistent with there being westerly winds, there is low pressure (970 mb) to the north (near Iceland, in fact) and high pressure to the south (a High of 1042 mb over the Bay of Biscay at 1800 GMT). The forecast chart for tomorrow shows a cold front lying from the Celtic Sea (south of Ireland) to Denmark at 1200 GMT, with Pennar, Northamptonshire Grammar School and Casterton almost on the front itself. That could be interesting. Keep your eyes skyward at these places for evidence of the cold front. It would be interesting to know what time the front reached you (if it does!). The front should reach the southernmost parts of Britain later tomorrow. The anticyclone which has given such high pressures over Britain these past few days has drifted south-westwards and maintained its pressure values, with 1044 Mb forecast for the sea area immediately to the west of the Bay of Biscay.
In Scandinavia, the battle between the cold air over Finland and western Russia and the warmer air over Sweden and Norway continues. Fronts have brought snow to some places in Finland and there has been a large area of snow and drizzle between the Black Sea and the Baltic. There has been rain and drizzle over Denmark and northern Germany, and snow and rain farther south. There have been north-easterly winds over Malta and eastern Spain today, giving temperatures lower than average. The weather appears to have been fine at Tarragona but still a bit showery over Malta.

The ITCZ looks something like the textbook model for January/February today, with the belt of convective clouds apparently linking up with the convective systems over southern Africa. Once again, the coastal strip of south-west Africa was free of cloud, suggestive of a sea-breeze circulation. Again, too, there were medium-level and high-level clouds across central and eastern North Africa. I asked yesterday if anyone has any information about wind speeds in the upper troposphere over the Middle East. Has anyone found any information about these winds on the Web?

Our friends in Madagascar said it was cool today. Well ... all I can say is that 'cool'
is a relative term. I would consider a temperature of +21 deg C more than acceptable here just now!!!
The weather battle going on around Tristan da Cunha appears to have been won by a trough of low pressure which is now lying a little to the east of the island. The cold front in this trough extends from an area of low pressure (971 mb) which is centred well to the south of Tristan da Cunha, at 50 deg S. There is high pressure 1019 mb north-west of Tristan da Cunha and to the east (1022 mb centred at 40 deg S 12-15 degrees East). Maybe high pressure will win tomorrow.

Thanks for the very interesting windchill information that Moritz Royr, Kristelig Gymnasium, Oslo, sent us yesterday. As he noted, severe wind chill and the practicalities of measuring snowfall are matters which do not concern some MetLink participants. In fact, snowfall is something that has not often troubled weather observers in many parts of Britain in recent years. One question I was asked more than once at Pinewood School (England) on Monday was "Why doesn't it snow any more?". Does anyone have an answer, please?!

Also please note that eastern parts of Scotland experienced the foehn (fohn) effect yesterday. The temperature reached 14 deg C in Aberdeen and 13 deg C at a number of places around the Moray Firth. These are high temperatures for early February in Scotland. Having said that, though, I should mention that the Moray Firth is one of the places in the British Isles that experiences the foehn effect quite often. Rainfall totals at Inverness, for example, are very much lower than at places on the western side of Scotland. If you are in an area which often experiences the foehn effect, please let us know and send us details.


That's all for today.

Best regards Malcolm




DTOT Meteosat Image 3 Feb 1999







N Atlantic synoptic chart 3 Feb 1999









S Atlantic synoptic chart 3 Feb 1999






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